Tuesday, March 04, 2008

Here's your election preview. It's over. Barack Obama is up one million votes, even if Hillary Clinton win Texas and Ohio by ten points, she will gain 5-10 delegates. We should be stocking up and preparing for November instead of wasting money on the current non-election.

The only way Hillary could get the nomination would be to have the super delegates override the popular vote, because come Summer that will be the situation. If Hillary did secure the nomination without popular support, John McCain might have a chance in hell of actually winning an election where I give him about a 30% chance, because the new Obama voters will be deactivated.

This is a very dangerous time for the Democrats. The Clinton's are only damaging Barack Obama for no good reason. The delegate system in Texas is set up such that most of the delegates will be divided pretty equally.

We may be doing irrecoverable damage in Ohio, we need that state more then any other in November and turning off 40% of the base when both candidates have no real substantive difference.

Even if Hillary wins Texas, Ohio, and Pennsylvania by ten points she will still be behind Obama. Now, this will cause a lot of perceptive confusion by voters. The media is already confusing voters by pretending there is still a race. I hope that the increased attention is good in the long term, but we would have that any way given that this is a historic election. All I know is that in Ohio Obama voters are being turned off towards Hillary and vice-versa due to commercials attacking one another. We are spending scads of cash doing the GOP's job for them.

Hillary should have left the race last month, she has got to know the math, and if we lose in November, you'll know why..